Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.460056 0.527787 0.601361 0.687131 0.784280 0.890814 1.016400
2025-02-16 0.332489 0.418305 0.519663 0.647853 0.805282 0.991912 1.229525
2025-02-23 0.250756 0.343834 0.462637 0.624566 0.838591 1.110738 1.481840
2025-03-02 0.194687 0.289418 0.419410 0.609285 0.877716 1.241464 1.769084
2025-03-09 0.158103 0.253398 0.393226 0.610868 0.937988 1.407454 2.127179
2025-03-16 0.127253 0.219058 0.362564 0.599636 0.976832 1.547602 2.468168
2025-03-23 0.107980 0.198575 0.348673 0.610490 1.049114 1.745230 2.920088
2025-03-30 0.089205 0.174872 0.324981 0.600791 1.086058 1.891607 3.310307
2025-04-06 0.077004 0.160197 0.313724 0.609632 1.154090 2.095559 3.818686
2025-04-13 0.063791 0.140771 0.290294 0.592337 1.172895 2.217355 4.201371
2025-04-20 0.057105 0.132916 0.287099 0.611912 1.260960 2.470273 4.843873
2025-04-27 0.051862 0.126974 0.286527 0.636186 1.360726 2.755451 5.577330
2025-05-04 0.045349 0.117004 0.276203 0.639524 1.420841 2.975593 6.219495
2025-05-11 0.039442 0.107172 0.264439 0.637872 1.470471 3.181373 6.858609
2025-05-18 0.034547 0.098725 0.254258 0.637972 1.523673 3.400444 7.549792
2025-05-25 0.030337 0.091078 0.244545 0.637475 1.575308 3.622062 8.271377
2025-06-01 0.027355 0.086049 0.240284 0.649165 1.656043 3.914624 9.175472
2025-06-08 0.023963 0.079072 0.229804 0.643777 1.695913 4.122171 9.917778
2025-06-15 0.021924 0.075590 0.227855 0.659719 1.789230 4.459791 10.985399
2025-06-22 0.019238 0.069474 0.217595 0.652088 1.822886 4.663732 11.770351
2025-06-29 0.017545 0.066127 0.214531 0.663490 1.906654 4.995020 12.887095
2025-07-06 0.015174 0.059911 0.201896 0.645942 1.911939 5.137256 13.568516
2025-07-13 0.014191 0.058292 0.202884 0.667966 2.026982 5.563324 14.985136